Posts Tagged ‘financial position’

19
May

The crisis in the euro area dominates the G8 Camp David

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U.S. President Barack Obama pledged on Saturday at the G8 summit at Camp David, to cooperate with Europe on a program combining the plans to reduce deficits measures to promote growth, to prevent the crisis in the euro area could destabilize the global economy.

The head of the White House and leaders of seven other industrialized countries, meeting in the presidential retreat in Maryland, the heart of the Catoctin Mountains, sought to reassure financial markets face difficulties of Spanish banks and the risk that Greece leave the euro zone. 

"We are all determined to ensure that growth and stability and fiscal consolidation, are part of a package of measures to ensure the prosperity of our citizens, we all want, "said Barack Obama during the resumption of talks on Saturday morning.

After meeting with U.S. President, British Prime Minister David Cameron said that progress had been made on how to address the debt crisis and ; rising oil prices, the two main threats to the global economy.

David Cameron said he had found among his G8 counterparts "a growing sense of urgency on action" to exit the eurozone crisis. 

"Contingency plans must be implemented to strengthen banks, improve governance and strengthen the firewall devices – all these things shall be implemented quickly in order to any eventuality, "he said.

But he added that German Chancellor Angela Merkel had "absolutely right" to demand that the countries of the euro area take the necessary steps to reduce their deficits.

On Friday, setting the tone of the summit, Obama had matched the proposed Francois Hollande supports incentives to growth facing austerity advocat ; born by German Chancellor that appeared isolated. 

"IMPERATIVE TO CREATE JOBS AND GROWTH"

The U.S. president has agreed with his French counterpart on the fact that the fight against the crisis in the euro area is "an issue of extraordinary importance, not only for Europeans but also for the global economy ".

He called for "a responsible approach that is coupled with a strong growth agenda".

Angela Merkel advocates instead a strong fiscal discipline to reduce the debt level. Its isolation is even greater than the draft final communique of the G8, seen by Reuters, plans to emphasize "the need to create growth and jobs".

"Germany is almost completely isolated," said Domenico Lombardi, former head of the International Monetary Fund. "(…) It is now clear that Greece has become a crisis systemic, "he added.

G8 leaders also discussed the Iranian nuclear Saturday.

Barack Obama said Friday that all participants remained committed to an approach combining sanctions, pressures and diplomatic talks with Tehran. 

"We are all involved here with a determination to continue the approach of sanctions and pressures combined with diplomatic discussions," he told reporters.

"And our hope is that we can address this issue in a peaceful manner that respects the sovereignty and rights of Iran within the international community, but also recognizes its responsibility s ".

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16
May

IMF commends Italy for its reforms

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Despite the recession and banking sector problems, the progress made by Italy makes her a role model, according to the institution. Mario Monti.

The Director of the IMF's European Department on Wednesday welcomed in Rome "progress" made in economic reforms by the Italian Mario Monti, saying they were a "model" for Europe.

"Progress" made by Mr Monti on the last six months is "truly a model compared to progress in Europe," said Reza Moghadam, during a press conference at the end of the mission Annual Fund in Italy. According to him, "Italy is on track and has made remarkable progress over the last six months."

"It is not easy to remember that Italy was facing a very difficult and dangerous," he said, but added: "but the work is not finished. It takes more effort to encourage growth. "For his part Mr Monti also said that" much remains to be done to resolve the backlog for years and the structural weaknesses "." This is not the time of guard down, "he said

. Monti took the head of a technical government last November, replacing Silvio Berlusconi. He imposed a severe austerity to the Italians to avoid the financial strangulation in the country, awash in a huge debt. It also adopted a plan to liberalize the economy and a proposed market reform Labour, currently before Parliament

. However, the implementation of austerity measures has a significant cost: they have accentuated the recession and, by extension, the difficulties banks

.

07
May

Industrial production down 7.5% in March in Spain

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Spanish industrial production fell by 7.5% yoy in March, down significantly stronger than expected, according to data released Monday by the National Institute of Statistics (INE).

Economists had expected a decline of 5.4% after falling 5.3% in February (revised).

The economic difficulties of Spain, the fourth largest economy in the euro area, recent weeks have given the debt crisis on the front of the stage.

27
Apr

Debt, recession, unemployment, a "huge crisis" hits Spain

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The Spanish economy, sick man of Europe, is facing a "crisis of immense proportions", a minister said Friday, while the unemployment rate reached its highest level in twenty years and that Standard & Poor's lowered the rating by two notches of the sovereign debt.

The Spanish unemployment rate, one of the highest in the world, jumped to 24% in the first quarter, its highest level since the early 1990s. Retail sales fell for their part, for the 21st consecutive month, as the country is experiencing its second recession in three years.

"The numbers are terrible for everyone and terrible for the government (…) Spain is in a crisis of immense proportions," said the Foreign Minister, Jose Manuel Garcia -Margallo, during a radio interview.

The unemployment rate in Spain was 22.9% in the last quarter of 2011. Half of young people are unemployed and the numbers are unlikely to improve anytime soon, while fiscal savings of some 42 billion euros this year while undermining hope for growth for the country.

Standard & Poor's lowered the rating Thursday of the Spanish sovereign debt to "A" to "BBB +" with negative implications, citing the risk of fiscal slippages may be more important than expected.

The rating agency considers particularly likely that Madrid has to provide support to its banking sector.

Lowering S & P sovereign rating instead of Spain at the same level as that of Italy, to "adequate capacity to pay" – is a few notches away from the class speculative. From Fitch and Moody's, Spain has however always a "strong capacity to pay".

BANKS SICK

Friday morning at the Madrid Stock Exchange, banking stocks fell 3.38% while the risk premium of Spanish debt, measured by the yield spread between government bonds ; ten years, has jumped 10 basis points to 434 points.

"This is a very difficult situation. I do not think banks are trapped, but we need the government to quickly find out how they intend to do it for them, "said Gilles Moec, economist for Deutsche Bank ..

……. Spanish banks may require more public funds, said in the morning, the Secretary of State for Fernando Jimenez Latorre economy, while excluding the use of EU funds

. The Spanish government also plans to create a structure defeasance for banks' toxic real estate assets, three rounds of cleaning and consolidation of the country's financial sector was not enough to reassure investors of its soundness. 

Madrid has already come to the aid of several banks devastated by the bursting of the housing bubble in 2008 and investors feared, given the current economic contraction, a new wave of de defects credit which further weaken the country's financial sector.

The contraction of the economy also means that Spain is unlikely to achieve its fiscal targets this year despite a severe austerity.

While in Europe are increasing calls for measures to support growth, the Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy reiterated its willingness to adhere to fiscal consolidation planned for the country. 

His government expects that the reforms of labor market flexibility adopted in the first quarter produce results next year. For now, many companies have primarily benefited the new rules to lay off more.

06
Apr

The Tokyo Stock Exchange 0.81% yield, closes its worst week in eight months

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The Tokyo Stock Exchange ended down 0.81% on Friday, falling for the fourth straight session and recording its worst week in eight months, amid concerns facing renewed ; the European crisis of debt and lack of signs of new measures to support activity in the United States.

Volumes were thin due to the closure of many markets around the world for the Easter holiday and investors were cautious while awaiting the monthly U.S. unemployment figures.

The Nikkei lost 79.16 points to 9688.45 points. The Topix broader, yielded 6.86 points (0.82%) to 825.71 points.

"The very optimistic view of the U.S. economy has already been considered by the markets. We can not expect further monetary easing by the Fed, "said Ryota Sakagami for Nikko Securities SMBC

." On the other hand, we see the uncertainty on the front of the European crisis of debt, and general elections in Greece and the presidential election in France will only fuel the uncertainty. "

Ryota Sakagama said he expected that the Nikkei is maintained above 9,000 points, but that its correction will continue until the end of the month or until mid-May, when Japanese companies unveil their profit forecasts for the current year

…… At values ​​…, Toyota Motor lost 2.02% on profit taking. The action is up over 30% since the beginning of the year.

The stronger yen against the euro also weighed on exporters. Canon sold 1.03%, Panasonic and Sony 1.79% 2.04%.

03
Apr

The number of unemployed went up in Spain

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The country now has 4.7 million jobless. In Andalusia, the region most affected, the unemployment rate exceeds 30%. Spanish unemployed line up at an employment office in Madrid.

This is a sad record that just defeated the Spanish economy. The number of unemployed in Spain has reached the end of March to 4.75 million people. This is the highest figure since the first release of these monthly statistics in 1996.

This figure of 4,750,867 job seekers also marks the eighth consecutive month of increase in the number of unemployed. And for good reason: without its economic engine, build, Spain is no longer able to create enough jobs. The short-term economic prospects are particularly bleak for this country that has returned to recession in the first quarter of 2012. After a low growth of 0.7% in 2011, the government anticipates a decline of 1.7% of GDP over the whole of 2012.  

Today, the Spanish unemployment rate is one of the highest in the OECD. According to the National Statistics Institute (INE), the rate was 22.85% of the workforce in late 2011. According to figures from the EU statistics office, Eurostat, which uses a different methodology, Spain posted an unemployment rate of 23.6% in février.En Andalusia, the region most affected country, the rate Unemployment exceeds 30% even.

The Spanish Government, these figures justify the ongoing reform of the labor market, even if it is painful. "It is necessary to recall the importance to have a framework of trust and flexibility for businesses, as one established by the labor reform," the Ministry of Employment in a statement.

But the public does not hear it that way. A sea of ​​people marched through the streets of Spain on March 29, after a general strike against the labor reform, in force since February. According to the unions, the reform will only exacerbate the scourge of unemployment, while the government itself provides for the destruction of 630,000 jobs in 2012 and unemployment at 24.3% at year end.

Labor reform is also involved along with the austerity plan intended to reduce the public deficit, which makes it even more unpopular. The government must reduce to 5.3% of GDP in the year-end deficit, after a slip up 8.51% in 2011, at great cost benefits. To do this, the government must present to Parliament a budget Tuesday of unprecedented stringency, providing 27.3 billion euros in savings.

13
Feb

The PS program will prompt banks to results

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French banks, which issue from their annual results on Wednesday, this year will count on a surprise guest, Francois Hollande, who plans to tighten regulations in the banking sector, threatening at the same time the potential rebound in banking stocks on the stock market.

In its program for the presidential election, the Socialist candidate proposes to separate the activities of deposits and capital market activities of French banks, like of what was decided at the end of last year the UK to reform its banking system after the crisis. 

If the authorities and French banks reject outright the idea of ​​separating banking, financial analysts have begun to incorporate this assumption into their projections of results banks, and taking note of polls giving the favorite Socialist candidate in the polls for the presidential election.

Francois Hollande, who poses as "adversary" of finance, also plans to increase 15% taxation on the profits of banks and create a tax on all financial transactions. 

The financial intermediary KBW estimated for example that, cumulatively, the three reforms envisaged by Francois Hollande could reduce 10% average annual results for French banking groups, BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole, Natixis and Societe Generale, or a total cost of 1.7 billion euros.

"These measures are a little confused from our point of view and with such worries, if the rally continues, I doubt that French banks is the preferred choice of investors," said Marco Bruzzo, Chief Operating Officer of Mirabaud Gestion. 

"The banks say that the separation of no use, it's stupid, but it would be interesting to know their real arguments against this reform," said an analyst based in Paris who did not want to be named.

"My feeling is that banks do not have that much," he says.

THREAT ON THE STOCK MARKET REBOUND

The European Commission has now put in place in November a working group on the structure of banks. This group will discuss in particular the question of the separation of banking activities and its report is expected later this year.

To justify their opposition to separation, the French bankers and the Bank of France to retreat behind the recent failures of the British bank Northern Rock and Lehman Brothers.

Analysts agree the coup use conferences to present the results of the banks to question their leaders on the issue and the consequences of a separation of banking activities already undertaken e across the Channel where the impact is estimated between 3.5 and 5 billion pounds (about 4 to 9.5 billion euros). 

"A movement towards this type of system (UK Ed) would certainly have a significant impact on profitability," said Marie-Pierre Peillon, director of financial analysis and non-financial at Groupama Asset Management .

Analysts also believe that the context of presidential campaign and uncertainty about the election's outcome will affect the share price of French banks, already engaged in strengthening their plans capital to meet new prudential standards and restructure their operations in the banking and investment banking.

"I think the performance (market, Ed) French banks will be capped as we will not know the outcome of presidential elections," remarked one analyst in Paris. "To go higher, you need better visibility."

Slaughtered on the stock market last year due to the exacerbation of the financial crisis, which forced the bank Dexia to dismantling, the French bank stocks have benefited from spurts of hope on the rescue of Greece and exceptional liquidity provided by the European Central Bank to bounce.

SocGen shows a gain of over 30% since the beginning of the year after losing nearly 60% of its value in 2011.

BNP Paribas will open Wednesday the ball bank results in France, followed the next day by Societe Generale.

Analysts polled by Reuters expect the drafting of an average 63% drop in net income for the BNP in the fourth quarter and 78% for SocGen. 

Credit Agricole and Natixis publish their results on Feb. 23. Credit Agricole SA warned in December that it would be a loss for the year 2011 and he would come to 2.5 billion euros of writedowns in its accounts of the fourth quarter.

In Europe, Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse have surprised markets by posting accounts into the red in the fourth quarter. and

11
Feb

The Greek government approved austerity plan

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This is one of several government ministers who resigned amputee who is granted in terms of the IMF and the European Union on Friday, while the Greek street is angry. Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos on arrival at a cabinet meeting in Athens. According to government officials, the Greek government on Friday approved a bill involving the country in the reforms demanded by the European Union and the International Monetary Fund for the implementation of a second bailout of 130 billion euros. (Reuters / Panayiotis Tzamaros)

Some resignations later … The Greek government has finally approved, this Friday night, a bill involving the country in the reforms demanded by the EU and the International Monetary Fund for the implementation of a second bailout of 130 billion euros, according to government officials.

The bill should be voted by parliament Sunday, which would make Greece a financial solution so that Athens must pay 14.5 billion euros of bonds maturing next month. The country will not honor these debts without further aid.

The European Union urges the Greek government to provide details of further cuts in public spending of $ 325 million.

It also requires a clear commitment of party leaders of the coalition government to implement reforms.

"We can not let Greece go bankrupt. Our priority is to take steps to adopt the new economic program and the new loan agreement. It goes without saying that those who disagree and do not vote for the new program can not remain in government ", said Prime Minister Lucas Papademos to the Cabinet

…. Friday ….., the Greeks began a 48-hour general strike to protest the new austerity measures demanded by international creditors and which Athens could not be the economy, according to Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos, at least of leaving the euro

. Clashes between protesters and police erupted Constitution Square (Syntagma), but to Parliament protests , followed by relatively few, have generally been peaceful

. The first police union, which accused the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the European Commission undermine democracy and national sovereignty, expressed his wish not to act against their "brothers". A local newspaper also publishes a photo montage showing German Chancellor Angela Merkel in a Nazi uniform.

The four government members from the LAOS, far-right party that belongs to the governing coalition, submitted their resignations in protest against the demands of international creditors, reports news agency ANA. George Karatzaferis, leader of the movement, had previously ruled to endorse the new austerity plan.

The device provides for a 22% decrease in the minimum wage, the elimination of 150,000 jobs in the public and reduced pensions.

For many Greeks, impoverished by five years of recession, in a country where unemployment affects one in five working where shops are closing one after the other, these new measures are unacceptable.

30
Nov

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Christian Noyer, Governor of the Banque de France (BDF) and member of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB), said Wednesday he did not hold to the basic scenario of an economic recession for France.

At a press conference in Singapore, he added that the fiscal measures taken by France were sufficient and the exposure of French banks to Greece quite manageable.

At the euro area, Christian Noyer said that the level of sovereign bond yields did not reflect reality, the day after an auction of Italian bonds where yields reached nearly 8%.

Inflation in the euro zone will return to the objective of the ECB in the next few months, also said the board member of the institution in Frankfurt, adding that all that was necessary would be done to avoid deflation or fight against inflation.

14
Oct

Recapitalization of banks: Baroin approves the plan Barroso

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According to the Minister of Economy, the European Commission proposal to increase the capital adequacy ratio of banks to 9% "can absorb a shock." Budget Minister Baroin regrets the refusal of PS on the constitutional question of the balance of finances

The proposal of the European Commission and its President Jose Manuel Barroso to recapitalize banks is "acceptable", said Friday the French Minister of Finance Baroin. "The position of the Commission Barroso and two days ago is acceptable. A level of 9% of equity" to be achieved by European banks "by the end of the first half of next year, it ' is, "he said on Europe 1 radio.

According to him, "9% in 2012, it can absorb shock." He reiterated that this concerned primarily banks that failed the stress tests at the beginning of summer and those who have passed narrowly.Banks should try to recapitalize "on the basis of their results" by distributing less dividends and less bonus, "warned Baroin, like the European Commission." They should not do so at the expense of economic activity, credit to individuals and business credit, "he said.

"If they can not, they will do in the markets, if markets are not enough they will find partners, and ultimately there will be a limited possibility of a European coordination" for public assistance, the minister added . He again suggested that the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) provides that state aid to schools that need it, as its new statutes in force since Thursday so authorize.Germany believes he can do that for banks in countries which already have an international aid program (Greece, Portugal, Ireland).

Baroin But he reiterated that French banks do not find themselves in the position of having to seek government assistance. On Greece, the Minister confirmed the new position of France, which was resolved Thursday to recognize that the creditor banks would have to erase the country a majority of government debt. The discount provided to date to the private creditors of Athens, in the agreement of July 21, is 21%. "For three months the markets have evolved, they have deteriorated (…) We left at 21% July 21, it will be, it is almost certain," he said. "How high? Is being discussed."

He also felt that the figures circulating going "well beyond 50%" were "fanciful"."Three quarters of the Greek debt is held by private (…) We will not cut the whole," he said. "If it requires a private discount that is not tenable, then that will invest in Greece?" Asked Baroin.

He then said that the Heads of State and Government of the euro zone announce their decision on this issue at the summit in Brussels on 23 October, without specifying whether they would disclose the amount of the new haircut or just the principle.