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Spain will further savings this year and next if it is to achieve its ambitious goals of deficit reduction, since it will be in recession in 2012 and 2013 , according to European Commission forecasts released Friday.

The EC wrote in its economic prospects of the European Union biannual, that Spain should show a budget deficit of 6.4% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2012 and 6.3% in 2013, unless you change the policies.

Madrid intends to reduce the deficit to 5.3% of GDP this year, against 8.5% in 2011 and, unless the finance ministers of the EU grant him more time to 3% in 2013, to save financial penalties. 

Even though the objective of the central government seems at hand, differences are expected at this stage for regional governments, the Commission explains in its report.

She added that the Spanish social security system is likely to remain in deficit this year due to the deteriorating outlook for the labor market.

The EU executive has revised sharply lower its forecast for GDP growth Spanish, now anticipating a 1.8% contraction in 2012, instead of 1.0% pre ; seen in February.

For 2012, the EC is planning a further contraction of economic activity, 0.3%, while the Spanish government is 0.2% growth. 

GROWTH FOR THE EURO AREA IN 2013

The EC believes that Spain will be the only country in the euro area to suffer a recession in 2013. She plans for the euro area as a whole increased by 1% next year, after contracting 0.3% this year.

"The recovery is in sight but the economic situation remains fragile, with still large disparities between Member States", said in a statement the European Commissioner for Economic and Monetary Affairs, Olli Rehn.

The combined fiscal deficit of the euro area would decrease to 3.2% of GDP in 2012, after 4.1% in 2011, and 2.9% in 2013.

"We're seeing an adjustment of fiscal and structural imbalances created before and after the crisis began and worsened by economic sentiment remains weak," says Rehn.

"Without new decisions energetic, low growth could persist in the EU. Sound public finances are a prerequisite for sustainable growth and, from an economic governance framework and strong again, we need to support the adjustment by accelerating the stability-oriented policies , and stimulation of growth "

. STAGNATION IN GREECE IN 2013

…… Regarding .. Greece, countries that initiated the crisis of sovereign debt in the euro area and now depends on funding from the EU and the International Monetary Fund, the EC expects zero growth in 2013, after contracting 4.7% in 2012, the fifth year of recession

. The budget deficit would fall to 7.3% of GDP in 2012 after 9.1% in 2011 but, unless Greece takes further steps to further reduce the die ; deficit, it goes back to 8.4% next year. 

Portugal, which, like Greece, depends on the help of international donors, will be close to meeting its deficit targets this year and next, with a deficit of 4.7% in 2012 and 3.1% in 2013.

The Portuguese economy would suffer a contraction of 3.3% in 2012, after contracting 1.6% in 2011, then record a growth of 0.3% in 2013.

Ireland, the third countries in the euro area to take advantage of the coupled EU-IMF to grow by 0.5% in 2012, after 0.7% in 2011, and 1.9% in 2013. Its budget deficit would be reduced to 8.3% of GDP this year, after 13.1% in 2011, and 7.5% in 2013.

Spanish industrial production fell by 7.5% yoy in March, down significantly stronger than expected, according to data released Monday by the National Institute of Statistics (INE).

Economists had expected a decline of 5.4% after falling 5.3% in February (revised).

The economic difficulties of Spain, the fourth largest economy in the euro area, recent weeks have given the debt crisis on the front of the stage.

Carrefour has managed to stabilize its revenue in the first quarter due to sales growth in Latin America, which offset a decline in France and a sharp decline in southern Europe and Asia.

The distributor saw sales totaling 22.5 billion euros over the first three months of the year, slightly below the consensus reached by Reuters (22600000000).

As reported, net sales sign up 1.5% with a positive calendar effect and an increase in gasoline prices. But like basis and excluding gasoline, sales were virtually flat (-0.1%) and without the calendar effect, they were down 2.1%.

The group, which recently welcomed its future CEO, George Plassat – the latter will be appointed to head the company as of June 18 – and battle to regain market share in France and Europe, gives no indication of its expectations for the current year.

In the opinion of analysts, the upturn in Carrefour, which suffers from poor positioning of price, high exposure to southern Europe weighed down by the crisis as well as a format – the hypermarket – in difficulty in France, will take time and investors should be patient. 

According to those of Oddo Securities, "the year 2012 should be another year of sacrifices in terms of results" and the Group's recovery could take three or four years.

Excluding the calendar effect, sales of Carrefour in France fell 3.1% in the first quarter and those of its hypermarkets, large black dot of a number of European distribution, have accentuated their fall at -5.8%, after falling 4.7% in the fourth quarter of 2011.

In Europe, sales fell 3.8% on a comparable basis and excluding petrol, leaded by a plunge in Spain (-6.1%) while they increased by 8.6% Latin America and continued to fall (-4.3%) in Asia.

The country now has 4.7 million jobless. In Andalusia, the region most affected, the unemployment rate exceeds 30%. Spanish unemployed line up at an employment office in Madrid.

This is a sad record that just defeated the Spanish economy. The number of unemployed in Spain has reached the end of March to 4.75 million people. This is the highest figure since the first release of these monthly statistics in 1996.

This figure of 4,750,867 job seekers also marks the eighth consecutive month of increase in the number of unemployed. And for good reason: without its economic engine, build, Spain is no longer able to create enough jobs. The short-term economic prospects are particularly bleak for this country that has returned to recession in the first quarter of 2012. After a low growth of 0.7% in 2011, the government anticipates a decline of 1.7% of GDP over the whole of 2012.  

Today, the Spanish unemployment rate is one of the highest in the OECD. According to the National Statistics Institute (INE), the rate was 22.85% of the workforce in late 2011. According to figures from the EU statistics office, Eurostat, which uses a different methodology, Spain posted an unemployment rate of 23.6% in février.En Andalusia, the region most affected country, the rate Unemployment exceeds 30% even.

The Spanish Government, these figures justify the ongoing reform of the labor market, even if it is painful. "It is necessary to recall the importance to have a framework of trust and flexibility for businesses, as one established by the labor reform," the Ministry of Employment in a statement.

But the public does not hear it that way. A sea of ​​people marched through the streets of Spain on March 29, after a general strike against the labor reform, in force since February. According to the unions, the reform will only exacerbate the scourge of unemployment, while the government itself provides for the destruction of 630,000 jobs in 2012 and unemployment at 24.3% at year end.

Labor reform is also involved along with the austerity plan intended to reduce the public deficit, which makes it even more unpopular. The government must reduce to 5.3% of GDP in the year-end deficit, after a slip up 8.51% in 2011, at great cost benefits. To do this, the government must present to Parliament a budget Tuesday of unprecedented stringency, providing 27.3 billion euros in savings.

Greece has avoided uncontrolled bankruptcy by obtaining the agreement of a substantial majority of its private creditors to restructure its massive debt, paving the way for a second loan installment of its donors. The agreement was welcomed Friday by all European leaders. Their reactions to images. Seventh

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Vinci said Wednesday a tender offer in the coming days for a minority stake in the Turkish airport operator TAV Holding Havalimanlari, why Aéroports de Paris also on the ranks.

The sale of a stake of up to 40% should value TAV, which manages several airports in Turkey, including Istanbul, more than two billion dollars (1.5 billion euros), according to sources familiar with the matter.

"Vinci confirms that an offer will be filed in the coming days," said a spokesman for the world leader in construction and concessions.

According to a source familiar with the matter, Vinci is best placed ADP.

"Vinci should win the deal on TAV, said this source. Vinci and ADP present their bids early next week. "

It would be the second failure in a row e abroad for ADP, which lost early February the call for tenders for the modernization of the Brazilian airport of Sao Paulo Guarulhos in favor of a trio of groups Brazilian and South African

. Another source however said that the games were not made in Turkey, stressing that supply of ADP is probably much higher than Vinci. 

But the source said, ADP, which the French state owns 52% stake, was forced to offer a higher price as a result of the anger in Ankara by the law criminalizing denial of genocides recognized by France, including the Armenians by the Turks in 1915.

ADP, which last week confirmed his interest in TAV, did not wish to comment.

The Tokyo Stock Exchange closed up 0.54% Friday, the benchmark index ending the Japanese market to a higher-end seven months and with an increase of 9.6% over the month.

The Nikkei gained 51.81 points to 9,647.38, closing above 9,600 points for the first time since August. The Topix broader took 4.94 points (0.6%) to 834.29.

Investors are reassured by the strong U.S. data and policies to support the activity of several central banks, including that of Japan. Some analysts even expect that the Nikkei is testing, by next month, the threshold of 10,000 points.

But other market players believe that a correction could occur in the coming months.

"I think the correction will come in March or April and that (the Nikkei) sink to 9,000 points due to earnings forecasts revised downward for the next fiscal year", Ryota Sakagami esteem, chief equity strategist for Nikko Securities SMBC.

Values, Nippon Steel Corp. has been 3.51%, while Nomura Holdings, the first investment bank in the country, took 1.6%.

This is one of several government ministers who resigned amputee who is granted in terms of the IMF and the European Union on Friday, while the Greek street is angry. Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos on arrival at a cabinet meeting in Athens. According to government officials, the Greek government on Friday approved a bill involving the country in the reforms demanded by the European Union and the International Monetary Fund for the implementation of a second bailout of 130 billion euros. (Reuters / Panayiotis Tzamaros)

Some resignations later … The Greek government has finally approved, this Friday night, a bill involving the country in the reforms demanded by the EU and the International Monetary Fund for the implementation of a second bailout of 130 billion euros, according to government officials.

The bill should be voted by parliament Sunday, which would make Greece a financial solution so that Athens must pay 14.5 billion euros of bonds maturing next month. The country will not honor these debts without further aid.

The European Union urges the Greek government to provide details of further cuts in public spending of $ 325 million.

It also requires a clear commitment of party leaders of the coalition government to implement reforms.

"We can not let Greece go bankrupt. Our priority is to take steps to adopt the new economic program and the new loan agreement. It goes without saying that those who disagree and do not vote for the new program can not remain in government ", said Prime Minister Lucas Papademos to the Cabinet

…. Friday ….., the Greeks began a 48-hour general strike to protest the new austerity measures demanded by international creditors and which Athens could not be the economy, according to Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos, at least of leaving the euro

. Clashes between protesters and police erupted Constitution Square (Syntagma), but to Parliament protests , followed by relatively few, have generally been peaceful

. The first police union, which accused the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the European Commission undermine democracy and national sovereignty, expressed his wish not to act against their "brothers". A local newspaper also publishes a photo montage showing German Chancellor Angela Merkel in a Nazi uniform.

The four government members from the LAOS, far-right party that belongs to the governing coalition, submitted their resignations in protest against the demands of international creditors, reports news agency ANA. George Karatzaferis, leader of the movement, had previously ruled to endorse the new austerity plan.

The device provides for a 22% decrease in the minimum wage, the elimination of 150,000 jobs in the public and reduced pensions.

For many Greeks, impoverished by five years of recession, in a country where unemployment affects one in five working where shops are closing one after the other, these new measures are unacceptable.

Bercy is considering a mechanism for not achieving a 10% rise in tobacco prices. Finally, it should increase by 2% on 1 October. Which must be added the 6% increase already planned. Next autumn, tobacco is going to experience a sharp rise again.

The government will review the tax on tobacco to reduce the effect "multiplier" of the social VAT on tobacco prices and avoid too large an increase of the cigarette package, officials said Saturday at Bercy.

The Ministry of Economy "is considering reducing the multiplier effect of the VAT hike on tobacco through a lowering of excise (tax collected by the State, Ed) on tobacco", it was indicated to the Department, confirming a report published on the website of Les Echos.

Besides the increase of 1.6 point VAT on 1 October, a 6% increase in tobacco prices in 2012. Due to the complex mechanism of pricing of cigarettes, the combination of these two boxes (one on taxation, the other on price, Ed) mechanically lead to an increase greater than 10% of the package.

At the announcement of the introduction of VAT social, tobacconists and manufacturers have alerted the authorities about the effects of this increase that threatens their marges.Bercy will reduce excises, to 63.28% as against 64, 25%, erasing "to nearly 90%" the VAT increase, according to Les Echos.

+ 2% from 1 October (6%)

"There will end up with a slight overall increase in taxes on cigarettes (0.13 points), corresponding more or less to the impact of the VAT hike in other sectors", according to the newspaper.

These figures have not been confirmed by Bercy which emphasizes that "the tobacco industry will contribute as much as other sectors". Les Echos report that "the margins of manufacturers fall moderately", without elaborating.

Ultimately, the VAT hike is expected to increase prices by 1.5% to 2% effective October 1, understands the quotidien.A this increase must be added the 6% pay increase for the fall at a date not yet known.

This former railroad 55 years succeeds Jacques neighbor to the presidency of reformist union.

Louis Philippe, 55, Friday officially took the presidency of the CFTC, at the end of the 51st Congress of the Confederation of Christian, the union announced in a statement. Pascale Cotton, 47, including the issue of pensions specialist, became general secretary of the CFTC and Bernard Sagez treasurer.

Elected for three years, Louis Philippe, a former railroad worker in Alsace, succeeds Jacques Voisin, he was number two. The office has also confederal three Vice-Presidents Jean-Louis Deroussen, Michel and Joseph Thouvenel Coquillion and a deputy secretary-general Pierre Mencas. At this congress, the CFTC voted to maintain its independence and its Christian values ​​despite the law of representation that darkens the horizon.

"The CFTC because it is meaningful and that can provide the link to our society's social cohesion that is lacking becomes itself a credible solution for the workers and their families," argued Louis Philippe ended Congress.