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The acceleration of inflation in March makes the recruitment fee preferred by the French less attractive for the coming months. Explanations. The remuneration of Booklet A from 2 to 2.25% on August 1.

Contrary to the predictions of earlier this year by Christian Noyer, Governor of the Banque de France, inflation does not decline in France. It remains even at a high level. In March, consumer prices rose 0.8% on month (after +0.4% in February), and 2.3% year on year. Normally this would result in a revaluation of rates of pay A booklet of 25 basis points, according to mathematical formula which is based on determining the rate of investment preferred by the French – 93% have.

The law provides that changes in rates of Livret come into force on February 1 and August 1. But large changes in inflation, such as increases currently observed may also result in rate changes on May 1 and November 1. In short: compensation should automatically go from 2.25% currently to 2.50% in a fortnight. There is a good chance they will not happen.

The government can indeed block the automatic adjustment of the booklet A. He has already done in the past, particularly to address the declining rate as in August 2009 – at that time, the rate had dropped 1.75% to 1.25%, while the application of the rule would justify a reduction to 0.25%. But at election time, the opposite is true: the government blocks the upward revaluation. This is what happened last February, while inflation already justified a rate increase to 2.50%.  

Increase the rate by 0.25 A booklet would cost 500 million euros effect (the total amount outstanding of 60 million accounts reached 223 billion euros) to the State, 700 million even if one adds the blue books. While the booklet A is a popular product, but it could still be perceived as a gift to investors. So the Livret A rate is likely to remain at 2.25%, at least until August 1.

"This level of rate barely covers inflation. At The booklet does not generate more over-compensation for savers, analysis Gommard Benedict, CEO of Cortal Consors. It is a product that preserves the purchasing power but which offers no more. " However, this low attractiveness of the booklet A should not lead to a massive outflow, estimated the specialist savings and online brokerage. Indeed, the booklet A "is a reassuring product in an increasingly anxiety-provoking," he concludes.

Sony will cut about 10,000 jobs, or about 6% of its global workforce, by the end of the year, the Nikkei newspaper reported, adding that these measures would affect the chemical division of electronics giant Japanese as well as manufacturer of LCD screens small and medium size.

The paper said it is difficult to say at this stage how these job cuts will be divided between Japan and the world.

The new CEO of Sony, Kazuo Hirai, was ordered to put the group on the road to profitability after four fiscal deficit. 

In early February, Sony, distanced during the last decade by more innovative competitors like Apple or the American South Korean Samsung, said he expected for the 2011-2012 year, ended March 31, at an annual loss of 220 billion yen (2.2 billion euros).

Kazuo Hirai, officially took office on April 1, replacing Howard Stringer, must be about the business plan from Sony on Thursday.

The government deficit in France in 2011 was lower than expected, which will facilitate the task of the next president if the economy does not collapse.

After 5.2% of GDP last year, instead of 5.7% expected in the Finance Act, Nicolas Sarkozy and François Hollande, favorite polls, have pledged to re reduce the public deficit to 4.5% and 3.0% end of 2012, limit the European stability pact in late 2013.

The effort would be lower than expected.

The outgoing president praised the figure of Friday.

"France has done much better thanks to the efforts of the French," he said, renewing his promise to reach 3% in late 2013. 

But the trend was poor in January and a sharp economic slowdown is expected for all of 2012, likely to derail the accounts if it were larger.

The "good" figure of 2011 on Friday will also be confirmed by further appreciation expected on May 15

The government balance includes accounts of the state, local and social security funds. It has not been positive since 1974.

Nicolas Sarkozy promised to return to balance end of 2016 and his Socialist opponent François Hollande end of 2017.

DOUBTS IMPORTANT FOR 2012

In January, the government deficit, which is the largest component of public deficit fell by less than a billion euros over January 2010.

A negative signal, even if the accounting parameters are not identical, to the rise or fall, a positive impact of € 2.6 billion having been such registered in January through the sale of radio frequencies.

The government deficit in February will be released April 6.

Especially, strong economic growth this year, which largely determine the amount of revenue is uncertain. 

The government has just raised its growth forecast for 2012 to 0.7% against 0.5% earlier (after 1.7% in 2010), while Francois Hollande provides 0.5% .

International institutions and economists are less optimistic, the IMF providing 0.2%, 0.3% OECD and the European Commission 0.4%.

The evolution of public finances is crucial for France, already deprived of its precious AAA by Standard and Poor's and sees its sovereign rating placed on "negative outlook" by the three major rating agencies.

Borrowing costs on financial markets may increase, which would make the effort to restore data even more important. 

The yield differential ("spread") between the French public debt to 10 years and German debt is currently above 110 basis points, or 1.1%.

This level is much lower than that achieved in November, at the height of tensions on the debt in the eurozone, to nearly 200 points, but it is much higher than the observed 30 to 40 points s during "normal".

Wall Street on Wednesday accused its second consecutive decline, fall within the scope of both oil prices and that metal, evolution has led investors to die ; lester values ​​related to raw materials.

The Dow Jones Industrial 30 yielded 0.54%, or 71.52 points, to 13,126.21. The S & P-500, wider, lost 6.98 points, or 0.49%, to 1405.54. The Nasdaq Composite fell on its side of 15.39 points (-0.49%) to 3,104.96.

The lower growth than expected durable goods orders in the U.S. in February (2.2% against 3.0% expected) has renewed concerns surrounding the recovery in the U.S. .

In addition, analysts said, the traditional quarter-end purchases seem to subside, which removes a source of support on Wall Street.

The S & P 500, and undergoes its worst session in three weeks, however, shows an increase of 11.4% since the beginning of the year, the benchmark fund managers are well on track to sign its best quarterly performance since the third quarter of 2009.

Cleaning portfolios to "the end of the quarter had probably carried the stock market these days. This factor plays up because if you buy less value today, it will not be settled before Monday so it will not appear in the first quarter figures, "noted Robbert Van Batenburg, head of equity research at Louis Capital

. The S & P grouping the values ​​linked to commodities fell ; of 1.52% and the energy sector has yielded 1.23%

. action number a global mining equipment Caterpillar fell 3.52% to 104.26 dollars, thus showing the biggest drop in the Dow Jones

….. The heavy oil …. ExxonMobil and Chevron also weighed, with declines of respectively 0.88% to 85.86 dollars and 1.07% to 105.89 dollars ..

……. Despite the decline of day, that the S & P 500 is not dropped below the 1.400 points suggests that the fundamental cycle bull bringing Wall Street six months ago are still in place, said Jim Paulsen, Investment Officer at Wells Capital Management.

Oil prices were down nearly 2%, under the double blow of surging crude inventories in the U.S. and the prospect of more countries use their re reservations policy to curb the sharp rise in gasoline prices.

Gold and copper also fell after data on durable goods orders, that interrupt a series of statistics considered positive for the U.S. economy.

During the meeting, Apple has hit a new record of 621.45 dollars. The action ended at 617.62 (0.51%)

The Higher Audiovisual Council (CSA) said Tuesday it deferred its decision on the allocation of new channels on digital terrestrial television after the shootings in Toulouse.

A CSA decision was expected imminently as part of a call for applications for the granting of new frequencies in high definition on TNT for which thirty candidates were ; auditioned from March 5 to 14.

"Due to circumstances at this time of tragedy that all families and our country, the CSA is associated with this sentence and defer its decision regarding the selection of DTT channels", Reuters said a spokesman.

The rating agency has again lowered the credit rating of Greece, "C", which corresponds to an almost certain risk of default. Moody's in New York.

The U.S. rating agency Moody's said Friday night that lowered the credit rating of Greece to "Ca" to "C" to reflect the launch of the restructuring of public debt in Athens. This operation "entails expected losses of more than 70% for investors" who will participate, Moody's wrote in a statement.

Moody's assigns a "C", the lowest possible rating on its classification as it deems to borrowers on the edge of default, while a rating of "Ca" she attributed so far to the Greek public debt corresponds to the speculative issuers in which the failure seems likely. The agency says that in his view, the swap of debt proposed by the Greek government to its private sector creditors, whose success is imperative to allow "the provision [of Athens] a additional financial assistance of the euro area "will return, if completed, a" default "on" Greek government ". The agency was then referred to the new European rescue plan providing 130 billion euros of aid set in motion Thursday.

Its rival Standard & Poor's lowered the credit rating Monday of Greece to "SD", a level corresponding to "selective default", to reflect the debt erase operation launched three days earlier. S & P said it planned to raise the rating to CCC of the country, which she attributed to poor quality of issuers with a real risk of default, where such operation would have been fully completed, probably in mid- in March.

This is not the case of Moody's, which does not assign "perspective" to the Greek note, sign it refuses to speculate on what could be its evolution after the debt swap consumed. "Regarding the future, the program of the European Union and the proposed debt exchange will reduce the debt burden for Greece, but the risk of default of the country will remain high even after this exchange has been completed, "the agency wrote.  

"Moody's believes that Greece still faces challenges in the medium term solvency: the ratio of public debt to GDP is well above 100% for several years," the statement added.

Restructuring launched Feb. 24 to allow Greece to obtain a cancellation of debt of 107 billion euros. Athens proposes to give private creditors participating in the operation of securities worth less than 53.5% of those they currently hold. A quarter of those titles that creditors will receive bonds from the European Stability (EFSF), presumably with a maximum maturity of two years. The rest will consist of new Greek bonds with maturities ranging from 11 to 30 years, a period much greater than those they replace. Because interest rates that will yield these securities loss to creditors should be around 73%.

French banks, which issue from their annual results on Wednesday, this year will count on a surprise guest, Francois Hollande, who plans to tighten regulations in the banking sector, threatening at the same time the potential rebound in banking stocks on the stock market.

In its program for the presidential election, the Socialist candidate proposes to separate the activities of deposits and capital market activities of French banks, like of what was decided at the end of last year the UK to reform its banking system after the crisis. 

If the authorities and French banks reject outright the idea of ​​separating banking, financial analysts have begun to incorporate this assumption into their projections of results banks, and taking note of polls giving the favorite Socialist candidate in the polls for the presidential election.

Francois Hollande, who poses as "adversary" of finance, also plans to increase 15% taxation on the profits of banks and create a tax on all financial transactions. 

The financial intermediary KBW estimated for example that, cumulatively, the three reforms envisaged by Francois Hollande could reduce 10% average annual results for French banking groups, BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole, Natixis and Societe Generale, or a total cost of 1.7 billion euros.

"These measures are a little confused from our point of view and with such worries, if the rally continues, I doubt that French banks is the preferred choice of investors," said Marco Bruzzo, Chief Operating Officer of Mirabaud Gestion. 

"The banks say that the separation of no use, it's stupid, but it would be interesting to know their real arguments against this reform," said an analyst based in Paris who did not want to be named.

"My feeling is that banks do not have that much," he says.

THREAT ON THE STOCK MARKET REBOUND

The European Commission has now put in place in November a working group on the structure of banks. This group will discuss in particular the question of the separation of banking activities and its report is expected later this year.

To justify their opposition to separation, the French bankers and the Bank of France to retreat behind the recent failures of the British bank Northern Rock and Lehman Brothers.

Analysts agree the coup use conferences to present the results of the banks to question their leaders on the issue and the consequences of a separation of banking activities already undertaken e across the Channel where the impact is estimated between 3.5 and 5 billion pounds (about 4 to 9.5 billion euros). 

"A movement towards this type of system (UK Ed) would certainly have a significant impact on profitability," said Marie-Pierre Peillon, director of financial analysis and non-financial at Groupama Asset Management .

Analysts also believe that the context of presidential campaign and uncertainty about the election's outcome will affect the share price of French banks, already engaged in strengthening their plans capital to meet new prudential standards and restructure their operations in the banking and investment banking.

"I think the performance (market, Ed) French banks will be capped as we will not know the outcome of presidential elections," remarked one analyst in Paris. "To go higher, you need better visibility."

Slaughtered on the stock market last year due to the exacerbation of the financial crisis, which forced the bank Dexia to dismantling, the French bank stocks have benefited from spurts of hope on the rescue of Greece and exceptional liquidity provided by the European Central Bank to bounce.

SocGen shows a gain of over 30% since the beginning of the year after losing nearly 60% of its value in 2011.

BNP Paribas will open Wednesday the ball bank results in France, followed the next day by Societe Generale.

Analysts polled by Reuters expect the drafting of an average 63% drop in net income for the BNP in the fourth quarter and 78% for SocGen. 

Credit Agricole and Natixis publish their results on Feb. 23. Credit Agricole SA warned in December that it would be a loss for the year 2011 and he would come to 2.5 billion euros of writedowns in its accounts of the fourth quarter.

In Europe, Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse have surprised markets by posting accounts into the red in the fourth quarter. and

It is Sweden who wins, this year, the prize for most innovative countries in the European Union, according to the dashboard of innovation lately published by the European Commission. As for France, among others overtaken by the Nordic countries, Germany and the UK, she had to settle for 11th place. Even if all Member States have made progress in the race for innovation, they fail to bridge the gap between them that are world champions the United States, Japan and South Korea. Involved, the lack of R & D in the private sector. To compare the performance of the 27 EU countries, as many as 24 indicators have been explored, from the resources devoted to research, business involvement, through the introduction of new technology or economic effects innovation. In pictures, the ranking of EU countries involved in the innovation race. 1/14

Previous Previous PauseSuivant 1. Sweden: Champion of Innovation Next Photo 2/14

Previous Previous PauseSuivant 2. Denmark: innovation champion Next Photo 3/14

Previous Previous PauseSuivant 3. Germany: innovation champion Next Photo 4/14

Previous Previous PauseSuivant 4. Finland: innovation champion Next Photo 5/14

Previous Previous PauseSuivant 5. Belgium: follower innovation Next Photo 6/14

Previous Previous PauseSuivant 6. UK: follower innovation Next Photo 7/14

Previous Previous PauseSuivant 7. Netherlands: follower innovation Next Photo 8/14

Previous Previous PauseSuivant 8. Austria: follower innovation Next 9/14

Previous Previous PauseSuivant 9. Luxembourg: follower innovation Next Photo 10/14

Previous Previous PauseSuivant 10. Ireland: follower innovation Next Photo 11/14

Previous Previous PauseSuivant 11. France: innovation follower Next Photo 12/14

Previous Previous PauseSuivant Slovenia, Cyprus and Estonia: followers of innovation Next Photo 13/14

Previous Previous PauseSuivant The moderate innovators Next Photo 14/14

Previous Previous PauseSuivant Innovators modest Next

China has banned its airlines to pay tax on emissions imposed by the European Union since January 1. His opposition joined the United States, India and Russia. An airplane of American Airlines lands on the tarmac at the airport in Port-au-Prince in February 2010.

For the Chinese government, no question of paying tax on pollutant emissions: a tax imposed by the EU to reduce global warming. The Chinese government's message is clear: "No Chinese airlines to participate in the EU ETS" taxes on carbon emissions "without permission from government authorities," and adds that they are also forbidden to raise their rates to offset the cost of the European measure.

The EU ambassador to China, Markus Ederer, defended the tax, but said Monday that negotiations could take place. "There are several possible ways, bilateral, multilateral or perhaps legal," he told a press conference, implying that a solution for Chinese companies could be paying a carbon tax in China. "We are ready to discussions on equivalent measures that would exempt companies from the countries concerned" the payment of the European carbon tax, he added. "We are witnessing a struggle between the EU and China on this issue. You have to see if China will not soon take retaliatory measures", for its part has responded to AFP Yanyan Luo, an analyst at China Merchants Securities based in Shenzhen (south).

In China, the European law will cost 800 million yuan (97 million) in 2012 to its airlines, and this cost will be multiplied by four in 2020. When asked about the tax by AFP, companies China Eastern and China Southern have refused to comment Monday. Worldwide, airlines encrypt the extra cost of the measure for the sector to € 17.5 billion over eight years. The European Commission for its part argued that the additional cost per ticket for a long haul flight would return between 4 and 24 euros only. By this law came into force on 1 January, the Europeans want to force all airlines, irrespective of their nationality, to buy the equivalent of 15% of their CO2 emissions, or 32 million tonnes. The objective is to fight against global warming. But the arguments of Europeans objected to by 26 of the 36 members of the Aviation Organisation (ICAO), including the United States, China and Russia. They adopted early November a nonbinding resolution recommending to exempt foreign companies from the EU carbon tax.

Going further, the House of Representatives in the United States passed a bill prohibiting U.S. airlines to pay this tax, including Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had asked the Europeans to suspend the entry into force . U.S. companies complain of a discriminatory measure and have filed an appeal in Britain, but their arguments were rejected by the European Court of Justice.

In early January, China said it would not cooperate with the EU to implement the tax that had just come into force and had hinted at retaliation. By the end of last year, the China Air Transport Association (CATA), which brings together most Chinese companies had indicated that "Chinese companies would not participate in the ETS, would not provide carbon monitoring plan to EU countries and would not negotiate preferential policies with the European Union ".

Companies refusing to pay the tax could be imposed a fine of 100 euros per tonne of CO2 or, in extreme cases, be denied landing rights in the 27 EU countries. But carriers have a period, because if the law is already in force, they can buy their license right to pollute for 2012 until April 30, 2013, and no sanctions will be applied before that date .

The Japanese Panasonic announced Friday include a record annual net loss of almost eight billion euros for the 2011-2012 fiscal year, due largely to the decline in demand for TV sets in a highly competitive environment.

For the year ending in late March, the maker of consumer electronics forecasts a deficit of 780 billion yen (7.8 billion euros). The market was expecting before the revised forecast a deficit of 470 billion yen, according to ThomsonReuters I / B / E / S.

Rival Sony said Thursday expect an annual loss of 220 billion yen (2.2 billion euros), almost twice more than expected by the market, highlighting the extent of tâ ; che the new boss of the group, Kazuo Hirai.

For the quarter October-December, the third year, the net loss of Panasonic amounts to 197.6 billion yen. The market was expecting a net loss of 8.4 billion yen.

The action Panasonic has dropped by 45% over the last 12 months. Thursday, she finished her read down for over 30 years.